Premier League standings: Who has a better chance of winning the EPL title 2023/2024?

Opta statistics reported that Arsenal currently has a 41.3% chance of winning the Premier League title, with Manchester City being the frontrunners with a higher probability of 58.7%. These numbers suggest that Arsenal is considered a strong contender, but City still holds the edge in terms of likelihood to win the league.

Arsenal and Manchester City both won their matches, with just one point separating them as they head into the final week of the 2023-24 season. City dominated Fulham with a 4-0 win, extending their winning streak to seven games. Arsenal faced City's rivals, United, and needed a win to keep City from securing the title with just one win from their final two games.

Arsenal (1st, 86 points): Arsenal who are currently leading the Premier League standings have showcased impressive form in 2024, suffering only one defeat in top-flight matches since the beginning of the year.

The Gunners boast the best defensive record in the league, having conceded just 28 goals. Despite not performing at their peak on Sunday, Arsenal secured a crucial 1-0 victory over Manchester United at Old Trafford, ensuring that the title race will be closely contested until the end.

Arsenal holds the advantage over Manchester City in head-to-head encounters, having won at home and drawn away. Additionally, they maintain a superior goal difference at present. However, Arsenal's destiny is not within their control. They are set to face Everton on Sunday, but they will require assistance from either Tottenham or West Ham to clinch the title for the first time since 2004.

Manchester City (2nd, 85 points): As previously mentioned by Pulse Sport, Pep Guardiola, the manager of Manchester City, has conceded that their hopes of securing the Premier League title will be dashed if they lose points against Tottenham Hotspur on Tuesday

In pursuit of an unprecedented fourth consecutive top-flight English league title, Manchester City trail leaders Arsenal by one point but hold a crucial fixture advantage.

Securing a victory against Spurs would pave the way for Guardiola's side to reclaim the championship by winning at home against West Ham on the season's closing day this Sunday. City's recent form showcases an impressive record of 28 goals scored in their previous seven Premier League games, while conceding a mere five times.

According to Opta's analysis, Arsenal's current likelihood of clinching the Premier League title stands at 41.3%, with Manchester City maintaining their position as favorites with a 58.7% chance.

Prior to Sunday's match, the Gunners had a mere 23.6% probability, which was further highlighted by City's 4-0 triumph over Fulham, emphasizing the importance of Arsenal's victory against United.

Looking ahead, Arsenal will host Everton on the final day of the season, while City will play against West Ham, both matches scheduled for Sunday, 19 May at 4pm WAT.

Nevertheless, a cautionary note for any team trailing in the last round of fixtures - no Premier League team has ever started the final day in second place and gone on to win the title. This leaves Arsenal in a peculiar position of supporting their arch-rivals Spurs when they take on the reigning champions on Tuesday.

In the words of Gunners forward Kai Havertz: "I will be the ultimate Tottenham fan! Let's hope for the best." according to Fabrizio on X

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The top scorers in the Premier League for the 2023-24 season are Erling Haaland and Cole Palmer, who are competing for the Golden Boot award.