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Despite languishing in 17th place, Tottenham have achieved a statistic that could stun Manchester United when both sides meet in the Europa League final next week.
Tell any Tottenham fan they've had a "positive" Premier League season, and you'll probably be met with confusion — or laughter.
After all, Spurs have hovered just above the relegation zone, sitting 17th and surviving largely because the bottom three have been shambolic. But in one key area, they’ve defied expectation: goal difference.
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Tottenham’s Unusual Goal Difference
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Despite a season full of defeats — 20 losses to just 11 wins — Ange Postecoglou's Spurs have a positive goal difference of +4.
That’s higher than Brighton & Hove Albion, who are comfortably in the top half with 17 more points. Statistically, it makes little sense: how does a team get outscored so rarely, and yet lose so often?
It’s a quirk worth paying attention to, especially for Manchester United ahead of their Europa League final clash . Because beyond the trivia, this stat reveals a team that might be chaotic, but dangerous — a side capable of blowing you away on one day and collapsing on another.
Historically, there’s a strong link between goal difference and success. The team with the most points usually also boasts the best goal difference. Liverpool, for example, top both charts this season. The reverse holds too — Southampton prop up both tables.
Yet anomalies exist. Norwich City’s 1992-93 squad finished third with a -4 goal difference — a feat largely due to scraping narrow wins and suffering heavy losses away.
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David Moyes’ Everton also sneaked into fourth in 2004-05 with a -1 goal difference, while West Ham did even better in 1998-99, finishing fifth with -7. But positive goal differences for teams in the relegation fight? Almost unheard of.
The closest precedent to Tottenham’s situation came in 2003-04, when Kevin Keegan’s all-out-attacking Manchester City ended 16th with a +1 goal difference.
They even capped off the campaign with a 5-1 hammering of Everton to tilt the numbers their way. Keegan, like Postecoglou, believed in attacking football above all else — even when the situation screamed for pragmatism.
Tottenham’s goal difference this season isn’t just an anomaly — it’s a Premier League first. No side has ever finished this low with a goal tally in the black.
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Earlier in the campaign, they strung together three-goal wins over Manchester United, West Ham, and Aston Villa — results that buoyed their stats — while suffering narrow defeats to Crystal Palace and Brighton. Spread those goals out more evenly, and Spurs could be comfortably midtable.
It’s not just inconsistency, though. There’s also a lack of tactical flexibility. Postecoglou has adjusted systems more than his critics admit, but his unwavering belief in expansive football has left Spurs exposed.
The goal difference reflects the team’s raw attacking ability, but their points tally reveals the absence of the game management needed to convert performances into results.
As Tottenham prepare for the Europa League final, potentially Postecoglou’s last match in charge, they carry this strange record into the showdown.
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If Spurs finish with the lowest league position ever recorded by a team with a positive goal difference — and then somehow win a European trophy — it will perfectly capture the madness of their campaign.
Ruben Amorim and Manchester United would do well to pay attention. Tottenham might be a statistical outlier, but that unpredictability is exactly what makes them a threat.
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