Tactical Analysis: Why are AFC Leopards struggling to score goals from open play?

Photo Credit || AFC Leopards

FKFPKL Tactical Analysis: Why are AFC Leopards struggling to score goals from open play?

Mark Kinyanjui 13:08 - 29.09.2023

Leopards failed to find the back of the net in their opening three fixtures until the 2-2 draw against Kenya Police.

It has been a rocky league start for AFC Leopards under the stewardship of new head coach Tom Juma for a couple of reasons.

First, the side is yet to win in any of their four attempts so far this season, drawing three and losing one despite bolstering the squad with seventeen new additions.

In those four attempts, Ingwe has only found the back of the net twice, against Kenya Police, and incidentally, both were from set-piece situations.

Second, the fans are already calling for Juma’s sacking, with chants of “Juma must go” roaring all over Kasarani Stadium at full-time after their lackluster draw with Muhoroni Youth a fortnight ago.

This weekend, Ingwe will be facing newly-promoted Shabana FC in a high-stakes game with both sides having plenty to lose.

Shabana themselves, have also failed to win any of their first four league games in the top flight, (more of that in another upcoming article).

Is their frustration justified? should Leopards be doing better? In this article, we analyse in detail the biggest teething problem that has affected AFC Leopards – why they are failing to create enough chances from open play –, and why they are failing to convert the few they are creating.

In the off-season transfer window, Ingwe’s transfer ban was lifted after they managed to settle former head coach Patrick Aussems’ dues, as the Belgian manager had taken the club to FIFA for failing to pay his salary, which left the governing body with no choice but to ban the club from making transfers.

However, once the ban was lifted, Leopards acted quickly in the market to bolster their squad with 17 new players, with some of them being profiles that would inject some quality to their attacking arsenal - well, at least on paper-.

In attack, the club signed strikers Brian Yakhama and Yasin Sije to be the finishing machines. In the creative department, the club brought in Kevin Kimani, Clifton Miheso, Hassan Beja, and Victor “Aguero” Otieno to act as supply lines and help the strikers get on the end of chances.

These options were to compete with the players already at the club, such as dynamic wingers Cliff Nyakeya, Jaffari Owiti, and Victor Omune, who is yet to play a game for the club this season due to injury.

However, despite having players who on paper are creative, they are yet to score any goals. But why?

Attack from flanks

First could be down to the fact that Tom Juma wants his side to attack down the wings rather than through the middle by whipping crosses into the box towards his strikers, Brian Yakhama and Yassin Sije who are both above six feet tall.

During the 0-0 draw against FC Talanta, Leopards struggled to unlock a defensively resolute Ken Kenyatta-coached outfit even after they were left with ten men in the second half after Lucas Weiterere was dismissed.

Kevin Kimani, who has been the side’s chief playmaker, just could not create anything meaningful from the midfield, which left Juma with no choice but to inject some pace into the game.

He subbed on Hassan Beja, and to be fair, Beja tried to give the 12-time league champions some width, with their true chances coming towards the end of the game. 

Beja drove with the ball forward as shown in the screenshots below.

Photo Credit || Azam TV and FKF
Photo Credit || Azam TV and FKF

He then opted to pass the ball wide to left-back Vincent Mahiga, who whipped in an early cross to substitute Brian Yakhama, but the former Talanta forward headed the ball straight at the keeper.

The theme continued on a couple of occasions, where Juma opted to set up his team to try and play around the opposition to score goals by whipping crosses in. However, there are situations where players have not overloaded the box enough.

During their 2-2 draw against Kenya Police, Victor Otieno got the ball down the right flank and dribbled past Abud Omar upon receiving the ball from midfield.

Jaffari Owiti did not attack the box quickly as when Otieno received the ball, he was outside the box, and by the time he crossed it toward Yakhama, Owiti was still not in the box.

Photo credit || Azam TV and FKF
Photo credit || Azam TV and FKF
Photo credit || Azam TV and FKF
Photo credit || Azam TV and FKF
Photo credit || Azam TV and FKF

Profligate forwards

The second could be down to the fact that players are not taking the few chances they are creating. Some have just blatantly missed chances given to them on a plate from the middle of the park.

Against KCB, Yassin Sije was intelligent enough to spot Jaffari Owiti’s run, so he executed a crisp long ball over the top which Owiti got on the end of and drove forward with it, but blazed it over the bar when on a one on one.

Photo Credit || Azam TV and FKF
Photo Credit || Azam TV and FKF
Photo Credit || Azam TV and FKF
Photo Credit || Azam TV and FKF

On other occasions, the players meant to inject some creative spark and serve the ball to the finishers in the team have not been decisive enough. In the screenshot below, Victor Otieno did well to get possession and drive towards the goal flanked by two of his teammates.

It created a proper three v two situation, with Police defenders backpedaling, but on this occasion, Brian Yakhama was free to receive the ball on his right, But Otieno opted to drive the ball towards goal instead, being unselfish in this case.

Photo Credit || Azam TV and FKF
Photo Credit || Azam TV and FKF
Photo Credit || Azam TV and FKF
Photo Credit || Azam TV and FKF
Photo Credit || Azam TV and FKF

How does Juma solve this?

Speaking after the KCB match, Juma said that the team needs to learn how to take the chances they are creating.

“You cannot win if you are not scoring. We just need to work on that. We need to create more chances, we need to take advantage of the chances we are already creating to score goals because the second game has been played and still no goals, ” Juma said.

The former Harambee Stars midfielder has insisted on “hard work” in each of his press conferences so far, and based on the evidence seen, his side really needs to walk the talk from this perspective if they are to bring back hope into their disgruntled fans.